Clippers Showing Signs But Not There Just Yet
- Updated: February 4, 2015
The Atlanta Hawks have been running hot in the East, so much so they couldn’t contain their winning streak in their Twitter name. The Los Angeles Clippers are quietly going about their business in the ever competitive Western Conference with a 33-16 record, currently good for fifth seed in the West.
Expectations have never been so high for the Clippers and they came under scrutiny early in the season, suffering from chemistry issues compounded with lack of bench productivity to have critics voicing their doubts after every loss.
Separate nine and six game win streaks along with impressive road wins against Portland and most recently at San Antonio have given Clipper fans a reason to be optimistic, with glimpses of their best as we approach the All-Star break.
Atlanta have impressed pretty much everyone this season with their ball movement and even though the Clippers are seven games adrift of the streaking Hawks, there are signs of similarity between two of the league’s best offences.
As of January 29, Atlanta rank #1 in assists with 1177 assists and with Chris Paul at the helm, the Clippers come in at #3 with 1131 total assists with both teams generating over 59 points per game off assists.
The Hawks and Clippers again rank first and third in the league for catch and shoot points which should come as little surprise as either team owns one of the best spot up shooters in the league in Kyle Korver and J.J. Redick (who are both in the 3-point shooting contest on All-Star weekend).
Furthermore, both teams are locked together at 57.1% true shooting percentage, good for equal second only behind Golden State with both teams % almost identical once again. The only real disparity between the two offenses comes in the pull up shooting category, where the Clippers rank #1 in the league largely thanks to Jamal Crawford and Paul while the Hawks rank second to last.
So if the Clippers are scoring at such an efficient rate to match the best team in the league, to no ones surprise that it means defense (among others) is the reason why they’re not on a 19-game win streak of their own.
Defensive anchor DeAndre Jordan has returned to the form that saw him finish third in Defensive Player of the Year voting a season ago leading the league in rebounding while coming second in blocked shots however the problems for the Clippers lie deeper within.
As all were aware coming into the season, the small forward position had been one of concern for the Clippers and despite Matt Barnes playing above expectations offensively, his defense remains an issue going forward. The Clippers have tried and tested a number of players at the position, all of which have failed while also passing up Australian rookie Joe Ingles (who is now a starter on the Utah Jazz) which makes you wonder whether the Clippers have any moves planned before the trade deadline.
While the players themselves cannot control the personnel on the court, they can control their effort, which at times this season has looked lacklustre at times.
One major area of concern defensively has been rebounding where the Clippers rank 24th for total rebounds and 17th in the league for rebound percentage at just 49.8%. Their failure to box out on the defensive glass also sees them give up 10 offensive rebounds per game. Blake Griffin is averaging a career-low in rebounds with his rebound percentage almost 20% lower than his return from last season, a stat that must improve if the Clippers are to become a top team defensively.
With Griffin’s elite ball handling skills at the power forward position made well aware for all to see this season, this makes his rebounding even more important given his ability to start (and finish) the fast break, an area where the Clippers have a distinct advantage on opposition teams.
While the Clippers are on the cusp of the top half of the league in defensive efficiency at 103.3, their three-point field goal percentage has dropped off after becoming the #1 team in the league last season. Teams are hitting 34.9% of shots beyond the arc through the current season as opposed to the 33.2% mark Doc Rivers‘ team set a year ago, while they also rank 16th in opposing field goal percentage. The aforementioned small forward struggles contribute largely to that percentage coupled with Jamal Crawford’s on ball defense – despite his three steals and two block performance against Utah on Jan 28.
One final area of concern is the Clippers rotation on defense, quite evident when defending pick and rolls. Though it has improved since the beginning of the season, Griffin and Jordan both tend to over commit when defending the pick and roll, creating the paint to become wide open for opposing offences to run into, causing the Clippers to give up 59.3% (per nba.com/stats) of shots inside five feet. For all of Jordan’s improvements and now constant knack to block and alter shots, this is another area which must be improved for the Clippers to get where they want to be defensively.
Most Clipper fans will know that the team hasn’t played their best basketball for a lot of this season yet they are still in a position for home court advantage in the first round. This is somewhat frustrating however it also shows fans that with the right changes and improvements in the needed areas, the Clippers can become that championship contending team we all want them (and know) they can be.
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David
February 4, 2015 at 6:47 pm
A very well constructed piece, Johaan.
However, i have a couple of lingering questions i was hoping you would be able to shine some of your brilliant light on.
Firstly, you made some rather valid comparisons between the Clippers and the Hawks, but one of Atlanta’s glaringly obvious strengths is their phenomenal ball movement; lead by the great Jeff Teague running the point. So my question is: Is Jeff Teague – not only a superstar point guard in this league – but is he (or will he be) a much more valued talent than the likes of Chris Paul?
You mentioned the lack luster effort being produced on the glass by star big man, Blake Griffin (who is averaging roughly 8 rebounds per game), but what i would like to know is, do you think this may be attributed to his ever consistent (and growing) offensive game?
Though he is not averaging his career best in PPG (currently sitting at 22.6 – when compared to his career high 24.1 last season), he is however averaging a career high in assists, which currently sits at 5.1 a game. Given his seemingly increased role with being a big man play maker, could this potentially show some concern for Chris Paul’s ability, who (in his 9 years of NBA experience) is averaging his fourth worst APG total? Could father time be catching up to Chris Paul a little early (currently 29 years old)?
Anyway, I rather enjoyed this article, it is clear you’re an avid Clippers supporter. Continue the great fight!
Johaan Forbes-Anthony
February 4, 2015 at 9:52 pm
Hi David,
It’s great to hear that you enjoyed my article.
I think you raise some great questions which I am more than happy to answer.
As for Jeff Teague, we are currently in an era of the point guard position being so dominant it’s actually crazy and he’s leading arguably the best team in the NBA right now so you’re question is certainly valid however as for superstar status yet, I’m not so sure.
In regards to Blake, I can see how his offensive rebounding can be impacted due to his mid range game improving and not being as close to the basket however it doesn’t explain his defensive rebounding numbers dropping. Funnily enough they’ve dropped a similar percentage.
As for CP3, him averaging 10 assists per game being his 4th worst of his career is just a testament to how amazing the #PointGod has been throughout his career. I’m sure he has many, many solid years of NBA left in him.
janetjtillery
December 21, 2015 at 10:36 am
At least point it sure looks like it